Northwest Florida Democrats are showing higher voter turnout rates compared to past elections ahead of Tuesday’s special election, where Republican Jimmy Patronis and Democrat Gay Valimont are competing to replace former U.S. Rep Matt Gaetz in Congress. The race is one of two special congressional elections in Florida, with Democrats hoping to flip solidly Republican seats. Valimont has raised over $6 million, putting Patronis on the defensive. Early voting and mail-in votes show an uptick in registered Democratic voters participating versus Republicans. Valimont would need non-party-affiliated voters to support her to win.
Meanwhile, Santa Rosa and Okaloosa Republicans are selecting their next Florida House of Representatives member. Eight candidates are running in the primary, with Nathan Boyles and Shon Owens emerging as front-runners. Across the 1st Congressional District, Republicans have a majority of turnout figures, but Democratic turnout has increased in Escambia and Walton counties compared to previous elections.
Escambia County has the highest turnout rates, with Supervisor of Elections Robert Bender noting that Democratic turnout is higher than usual. While Republicans are expected to turn out in higher numbers on Election Day, the current turnout is close between the two parties. Overall, turnout is at 14.29% district-wide, reflecting increased Democratic enthusiasm. The special election results will be closely watched as a possible indicator for future elections.
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